Kennedy scion Jack Schlossberg leads in the race to replace retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler, according to a new poll commissioned by his opponent George Conway’s campaign. The survey found Schlossberg was the top choice for 25% of likely voters in the district, followed by Conway, the prominent Trump critic and ex-husband of Kellyanne Conway, who had support from 16% of likely voters surveyed.
Tied for last place were Assembly Members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, both netting 11% support. It’s an early snapshot of the race, as evidenced by the plurality of voters who remain undecided: 33%.
The survey, conducted between Feb. 25 and March 2, asked 500 likely Democratic voters in the 12th Congressional District in Manhattan who they would vote for if the primary were held that day: Conway, Bores, Lasher, Schlossberg, or some other candidate. Respondents weren’t given any information about the candidates beforehand, so the results likely measure initial name recognition more than anything else.
The campaign declined to share the full crosstabs from the poll, which was conducted by polling firm GQR. That means City & State has not reviewed survey breakdowns by demographics, like neighborhood or race, or reviewed a full list of questions voters were asked.
The race to succeed Nadler is already intensely competitive. Bores so far leads in fundraising, having received more than $2.2 million by the end of 2025, followed by Lasher, who has raised roughly $1.4 million. Conway launched his campaign after the most recent filings were due, he hasn’t filed official disclosures yet with the Federal Election Commission. According to the campaign, Conway has raised over $2.4 million since launching in January. Super PACs funded by the artificial intelligence industry have already spent hundreds of thousands of dollars in the race as well, mostly on ads attacking Bores.
The survey only asked about the top four contenders in the race. Among those, Bores and Lasher are widely considered by political insiders to be front-runners, given their experience and connections. Bores was endorsed by former Rep. and fellow Upper East Sider Carolyn Maloney, while Nadler backed Lasher.
The field is slowly thinning as finance professional Alan Pardee, who self-funded his campaign to the tune of $700,000, dropped out on Thursday. There are 10 Democrats still running.
